(1) OurClient's customers wanted software
capabilities and features in OurClient's product line which OurClient's
tech teams could not readily design and produce within time to meet
customers' steadily increasing needs.
(2) Market research showed customers' demand for this software will
not only increase, but will also require significant improvements
in the software's capabilities, features and benefits over the next
three years. Thus, OurClient not only needed software to fill the
gap in its product offering, it also needed software that would
scale up to meet accelerated performance requirements over the next
three years.
(3) One of OurClient's largest competitors had announced a new software
product that fit the demands of OurClient's customers.
(4) Wxyz was the only company that produced software that would
fill the gap in OurClient's product line. The software was well
respected in the marketplace and industry gossip said the privately-held
company's owners might be willing to sell the company. The three-year-old
privately-held company had annual revenues of approximately $26
million.
Because two of OurClient board members had
reservations about acquiring Wxyz, Outlook Analysis was hired to
perform information discovery and outlook analysis on Wxyz and the
merger, if transacted.
Outlook Analysis's assignment included information
discovery and analysis of:
(1) Wxyz's motivations and objectives in selling the company
(2) integrity of finances and revenue
(3) quality of sales and customer relationships
(4) any hidden agendas of the board of directors, senior management
or major shareholders
(5) any illegal operations
(6) software products, basic technology, research and development
program
(7) investment banking firm hired by Wxyz
(8) individual due diligence on negotiating team
(9) negotiation strategy and tactics
(10) any pressure points affecting Wxyz's negotiation strategy
(11) competing potential acquirers
(12) bottom line price, terms and conditions Wxyz would accept in
a final transaction and flexibility in making trade-offs
(13) advice and recommendations on the proposed acquisition and
successful negotiation of a transaction.
Because Outlook Analysis analysts had performed several hundred
M&A assignments over the last twenty years, they applied their
experience using Outlook Analysis proprietary analytical tools to
discovering needed information, facts and data. Within five days,
they had discovered:
(1) Wxyz's motivations and objectives in
selling the company
The motivation to sell the company stems
from the philosophy of the chairman and president, who are also
the largest shareholders, to sell companies at the top; peak value.
Their view is Wxyz is near the peak and now is the best time to
realize its value.
The genuine motivation and objective is to
sell for reasons concerning Wxyz's technology platform that will
be later explained.
(2) Financial integrity that included accounting
and revenue
The integrity of Wxyz's finances, accounting
and revenue are solid. The reporting systems and numbers are accurate.
(3) Quality of sales and customer relationships
The quality of sales and customer relationships
is excellent. Wxyz's brandname and image are respected in its marketplaces.
(4) hidden agendas of the board of directors,
senior management or major shareholders
Management has denied our client access to
the company's software development teams even though our client
has been willing to sign non-disclosure agreements. Every employee
in the company has received strict instructions not to discuss anything
about the company, even minor details or anecdotes, with anyone
not employed the company.
This denial of information raised suspicions
among OurClient's board of directors and was an important reason
in hiring Outlook Analysis.
(5) Any illegal operations
.
No
(6) software products, basic technology,
research and development program
The original software development team wrote
the software to meet the marketplace needs they envisioned would
exist through next year's needs. While they knew customer needs
would significantly expand after next year, they did not want to
expend the time, money and resources to allow that additional scalability.
As a consequence, the software platform will have to be scrapped
and developed almost from scratch to meet the marketplace needs
beyond next year. The development team left the company more than
a year ago to start a new venture. The team had done this develop-and-sell
strategy at least once before.
Since OurClient's main motivation is to acquire
technology scalable to the marketplace three years from now, Wxyz
does not want to reveal the software's limitations. Their attitude
is “take the money and run.”
Our analyst team discovered Wxyz actually
knew their software technology's limitations, however, Wxyz's strategy
is not to disclose these limitations to OurClient before the transaction
closes.
(7) Investment banking firm hired by Wxyz
While management has retained a small investment
bank as an adviser, management is actually conducting the M&A
negotiations. People who know the management team would say they
are highly confident they can negotiate the best transaction possible
without heavy investment banker participation.
The investment banking firm is considered
competent in handling transactions of $50 million or less. People
who know the investment bank would say its ethics and trustworthiness
are fairly good. Everything must be in writing.
(8) Individual due diligence on negotiating
team
Wxyz's negotiating team is comprised of the
chairman of the board, president and chief executive officer, chief
financial officer, and vice president of marketing. The chairman
and president are the two largest shareholders in the privately-held
company. They have full approval from the board of directors to
make all decisions related to completing the sale of the company.
Inside and outside the software company,
the chairman and president are known to be excellent in bluffing
their way in negotiating better than expected agreements and contracts.
Management's confidence in its own negotiating abilities is the
reason for undertaking the negotiations themselves and relegating
the investment bankers to a support role.
The chief financial officer and vice president
of marketing serve in a supporting role to the chairman and president
in the negotiations. The law and accounting firms participate in
a supporting role.
Chairman and President
People who know the chairman and the president
say the two men think and act as one person. They are known to finish
each other's sentences. It is unusual for them to disagree.
The chairman and the president are confident
by nature, forceful in negotiations, and are intimidating when allowed.
They will fight rather than compromise. Intimidation best describes
their attitude and style.
When they confront solid opposition or find
themselves on shaky ground, they usually attempt to obscure the
obvious, switch to macro from micro, and obfuscate facts and solid
arguments by trying to shift focus to unrelated minutiae.
The Chairman and the President are typically
“in-your-face” argumentative. They negotiate to win
it all as opposed to friendly negotiations and comprise.
People who have negotiated with them say there is no consideration
of compromise or fair value. Exploitation is their focus and goal.
One strategy has been successful in negotiating
with them in the past. The strategy is to add qualifications and
contingencies with penalties to every point they want. The strategy
has led them to comprise key issues.
Chief Financial Officer
The chief financial officer performs well
in his job, however, he lacks leadership and negotiating skills.
He can best described as an efficient bean counter. His purpose
in the M&A negotiation is to support the chairman and president
with facts and data.
He is only slightly aware of the software's
flaws, but prefers to avoid any knowledge in order to distance himself
from any improprieties. He is loyal to whomever pays his salary.
He lacks strength of character.
Vice President of Marketing
The vice president of marketing and sales
has earned a good track record during his two and a half years with
the company and in previous positions with other companies. He knows
the company's marketplace and its good at recognizing and exploiting
opportunities.
While he is ready to seek another position,
the president has convinced him to stay until the company is sold.
His decision on whether to stay with the new corporation depends
on the same factors he would weigh in accepting another position.
People who know him would say he is unaware of the software platform's
limitations.
The vice president of marketing has basic
integrity. When he makes a commitment, he honors it.
His role in the negotiating team is strictly
to support the chairman and president with information, facts and
data about the marketplace and the company's accomplishments.
(9) Negotiation strategy and tactics
Wxyz's negotiating team's strategy is to
focus on:
a. customers' demand for OurClient's software to include Wyxz's
capabilities, features and benefits,
b. Wxyz's software fits into OurClient's product line, and
c. place continued emphasis on the accuracy of Wxyz's financial
statements to divert attention away from the undisclosed scalability
problems with its software.
The key reason for limiting the time for negotiations is to inhibit
OurClient's technology team from fully analyzing the software for
reasons stated later in this report. This is why management had
delayed contact between OurClient's software developers and engineers
interfacing with Wxyz developers and engineers. The delays have
been couched under excuses that OurClient could steal the core technology,
if allowed to interface with the developers and engineers, even
if non-disclosure agreements have been signed.
From industry gossip and previous discussions
with OurClient personnel, the Wxyz negotiating team knows OurClient's
need for its software technology is considered urgent. OurClient
is almost desperate to acquire this technology.
As previously stated, the reasons OurClient
chose the strategy of acquisition over internal development are:
a. OurClient's customers want OurClient's
software to have the features and benefits of the target company's
products,
b. the target software company has respected
brand name products OurClient's customers' respect and buy,
c. the software can be fairly easily integrated
into OurClient's products, and
d. the costs of creating a comparable software
platform would strain OurClient's technical resources in terms of
cost, software developer and engineering resources, and
e. OurClient may not be able to develop the
comparable sophisticated software in time to meet the forecasted
marketplace needs in two and a half years.
(10) Any pressure points affecting Wxyz's
negotiation strategy
Complete the transaction before OurClient discovers the truth about
the software limitations.
The original software developers of Wxyz's
products had only developed the software platform to scale up to
the marketplace needs one year out in the future, not the three
years OurClient urgently needed. The original developers had foreseen
the growth of the marketplace over several years, but did not want
to spend the time, money and resources to develop the software beyond
it present limitations. People who know the developers would say
they were surprised with the marketplace's rapid growth.
The development team had sold the technology
and the entire company to the present owners about eighteen months
ago. They sold to start a new software company aimed at marketplaces
unrelated to Wxyz and OurClient.
Wxyz has studied OurClient's management team,
negotiating style and have conducted research on a smaller scale
on OurClient's investment banker.
(11) Competing acquirers
Our analysts have not found any other serious
acquisition interest in Wxyz, although management has alluded it
has had held serious initial talks with one of our clients' competitors.
(12) What are the bottom line price, terms
and conditions Wxyz would accept in a final transaction and flexibility
in making trade-offs?
Although Wxyz is asking for an all cash deal
of $45 million for the sale of the software company, senior management
,who are the company's largest shareholders and board members, have
agreed among themselves to accept a minimum of $36 million in cash
and stock which includes $5 million to retire debt.
Because OurClient's stock has a history of
volatility, Wxyz's strategy is have the acquirer pay a 25% premium
for each share of stock used in the transaction instead of cash.
Thus, if the acquiring company paid $45 million of the transaction
price in stock, the 25% premium would raise the transaction price
to $56,250,000. If OurClient agrees to pay half the transaction
price in cash and half in equity, management would be willing to
reduce the 25% premium to 20%. It is worthwhile noting that securities
analysts are bullish on OurClient's stock.
The Wxyz negotiating team definitely wants
any stock in the transaction to be without restrictions because
they plan to quickly sell it after the close of the merger. The
team's obsession can be used by OurClient to reduce or eliminate
the premium that will be demanded by Wxyz on any stock included
as payment in the transaction.
(13) Advice and recommendations on the proposed
acquisition and successfully negotiating a transaction
Outlook Analysis's advice and recommendation
is OurClient should not acquire Wxyz because
a. Wxyz management's lack of integrity will eventually negate any
gains achieved through the acquisition
b. the minimum price, terms and conditions that Wxyz management
will accept to complete a transaction are too excessive to serious
consider acquiring Wxyz, its limited technology, and its position
in its marketplace.
c. the software platform will not scale to the projected three-year
needs
d. OurClient should immediately use an unrelated intermediary to
contact the original software platform development team to explore
their willingness to re-develop the software to meet the anticipated
three-year scalability technological needs.
e. simultaneously, OurClient should immediately use an unrelated
intermediary to contact other competent software platform developers
concerning contracting them to develop software scalable to the
projected three-year needs and which does not violate intellectual
property owned by Wxyz.
f. OurClient should refocus negotiations with Wxyz to license the
software on a one-year basis or less, depending on the realistically
estimated time for the scalable software to be developed and ready
for shipment to customers. An alternative is to create a joint venture
to bundle the Wxyz software with OurClient's software,
It is also recommended that current negotiations
be continued in order to avoid alerting Wxyz management that OurClient
is changing strategic directions to solve its scalable software
needs.
Since Wxyz rejected OurClient's request to
sign a non-disclosure agreement in order to meet Wxyz's technical
staff, it is highly recommended OurClient avoid signing any non-disclosure
agreement of any kind.
Outlook Analysis can provide additional information
discovery and outlook analysis on software developers OurClient
considers capable of developing the scalable software as well as
all negotiations with Wxyz.